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2014 Midterm Elections: All About Control
It’s that time again; time to start the close examination and close scrutiny of the upcoming election! Before we look at the big issue of this particular race (control of the Senate), we thought we’d take a moment to dust off everyone’s understanding so we’re on the same page.
What Are the Midterm Elections?
You surely know that a presidential term lasts four years. You may even know that a Congressional term in the House of Representatives lasts two years and a Senate term lasts six. However, you might not remember that elections for the Senate are “staggered,” with only a third of those Senators up for re-election every two years. This means that every two years, “control” (Republican or Democrat) can shift, which is very important depending on the current control of each house of Congress as well as that of the President.
2014 Race
The House of Representatives has a Republican majority (233 to 200) that is unlikely to shift in this particular race. The Senate, on the other hand, has a Democratic majority (53 to 45–with 2 Independent members) that will make for a close race. Political experts say that in this year many states are “in play,” meaning that neither party has a historical stronghold.
Broken down further, 15 of the Republican’s 45 seats are up for re-election this year. Which leaves them six states to win over. Likely candidates are Alaska, Arkansas, Georgia, Iowa, Kansas, Kentucky, Louisiana and North Carolina. In addition, there are three races where Democratic senators are retiring – Montana, South Dakota, and West Virginia–where Republicans have a good chance of winning. The numbers are changing each week, but here is a glimpse at a few of the most important races.
The Republican candidate is current Senate Minority Leader, Mitch McConnell. His challenger Allison Grimes (D) is currently campaigning on a pro-gun platform and by distancing herself from President Obama.
In recent polling, Dan Sullivan (R) holds a narrow lead over incumbent Mark Begich (D). Like Grimes, Begich is going against “typical” liberal values by being in favor of drilling in Alaska.
Current Senator Mary Landrieu (D) has been popular for her support of oil spill regulations and the fact that she is the daughter of former New Orleans Mayor Moon Landrieu. But Bill Cassidy (R) is gaining considerable ground in his campaign so far.
Democratic candidate Michelle Nunn is considered an underdog against incumbent Sonny Perdue. But a change in demographics may make a shift to the Democratic majority more likely. The Latino population is growing and voter turnout among African Americans has risen in recent years.
The current Speaker of North Carolina’s House of Representatives, Republican Thom Tillis, is running against incumbent Kay Hagan (D).
Many believe Hagan’s win was based on the popularity of President Obama, leaving them to wonder if voters will be less enthusiastic now that the president’s approval rating is low.
If there happens to be a 50-50 tie come November, the vice president is tasked by the Constitution to break any ties in voting. Because the current VP (Joe Biden) is a Democrat, that party would, in all practicality, remain in control of the Senate.
Dig Deeper
Choose one of the states mentioned above. Follow the polling and eventual progress through Election night.
Lia Eastep